Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000089 0.000094 0.000099 0.000105 0.000111 0.000117 0.000124
2025-01-12 0.000079 0.000086 0.000093 0.000101 0.000111 0.000121 0.000134
2025-01-19 0.000073 0.000080 0.000089 0.000098 0.000110 0.000124 0.000142
2025-01-26 0.000067 0.000075 0.000084 0.000094 0.000108 0.000123 0.000144
2025-02-02 0.000065 0.000073 0.000083 0.000095 0.000110 0.000129 0.000155
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000073 0.000083 0.000097 0.000114 0.000137 0.000169
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000072 0.000083 0.000098 0.000118 0.000144 0.000183
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000073 0.000086 0.000102 0.000126 0.000157 0.000207
2025-03-02 0.000060 0.000070 0.000083 0.000100 0.000124 0.000157 0.000211
2025-03-09 0.000057 0.000067 0.000080 0.000097 0.000121 0.000155 0.000211
2025-03-16 0.000056 0.000066 0.000079 0.000096 0.000122 0.000159 0.000222
2025-03-23 0.000055 0.000065 0.000079 0.000097 0.000125 0.000165 0.000237
2025-03-30 0.000053 0.000063 0.000076 0.000095 0.000123 0.000166 0.000243
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000061 0.000074 0.000092 0.000121 0.000164 0.000245
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000058 0.000071 0.000090 0.000119 0.000164 0.000250
2025-04-20 0.000046 0.000056 0.000068 0.000087 0.000115 0.000159 0.000246
2025-04-27 0.000045 0.000055 0.000068 0.000087 0.000117 0.000165 0.000263
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000055 0.000068 0.000088 0.000120 0.000174 0.000289
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000055 0.000069 0.000090 0.000124 0.000184 0.000317
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000056 0.000070 0.000094 0.000132 0.000202 0.000371
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000054 0.000069 0.000091 0.000130 0.000200 0.000374
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000052 0.000066 0.000089 0.000126 0.000196 0.000370
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000052 0.000066 0.000088 0.000127 0.000200 0.000392